India CPI Inflation October 2025 LIVE: Retail inflation seen below 1% on GST rate cuts, cheaper food
Demand surge. India’s import dependence in case of edible oils and pulses continues to remain high on growing demand amid changing dietary habits SUSHIL KUMAR VERMA
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Sushil Kumar Verma
etail inflation based on the Consumer Price Index (CPI) is expected to dip sharply below 1% in October — possibly as low as 0.2% — marking the lowest reading in the current series. The decline reflects the full-month impact of the GST rate cuts effective from September 22, along with easing food prices. Inflation had stood at 1.5% in September.
Economists say the disinflationary trend is being driven by lower prices in perishables, pulses, and cereals, and a broad decline in the food and beverages category. However, experts expect October to mark the bottom of the current inflation cycle, with prices likely to inch up again in the coming months due to base effects and potential food supply disruptions.
The Reserve Bank’s Monetary Policy Committee (MPC), headed by Governor Sanjay Malhotra, is expected to reassess its inflation projections in December and may even consider a policy rate cut.
- November 12, 2025 08:35
October retail inflation live: UBS pegs India’s FY27 GDP growth at 6.4%, driven by domestic demand, favourable US-India trade deal
UBS pegs India’s FY27 GDP growth at 6.4%, driven by domestic demand, favourable US-India trade deal
UBS Securities has projected India’s real GDP growth at 6.4 per cent for FY27, marginally below consensus estimates, contingent on a US-India trade deal materialising by the end of December 2025. The forecast assumes the current 50 per cent US tariff, including a 25 per cent penalty, will be reduced to around 15 per cent, aligning with other Asian countries
- November 12, 2025 08:34
October inflation live updates: Retail inflation for October likely to go below 1%
Retail inflation for October likely to go below 1%
Retail inflation in October is expected to drop below 1% due to GST cuts and declining food prices.
Published on November 12, 2025
